Misty-Bracelet

0x9df32b50407816006db90fe87963f234948d83c7

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Misty-Bracelet: +$4.1K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 57% (95% range 25%–84%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$4.1K
return +79.8%
Settled bets
7
$5.1K staked
Won
57.1%
95% range 25%–84%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$1.8K
Sep 6 – Sep 24
+$1.9K
Sep 24 – Oct 12
+$380
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 4 BUY Karolina Muchova @ 72¢
China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova
China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova $1.0K
Sep 14 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14?
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14? $1.3K
Sep 14 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14? $1.9K
Sep 12 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will SS Lazio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?
Will SS Lazio vs. AC Milan end in a draw? $1.5K
Sep 6 SELL Alexander Zverev @ 99.9¢
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo $1.2K
Sep 5 BUY Ben Shelton @ 88¢
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov $4.1K
Aug 20 SELL Flavio Cobolli @ 99.9¢
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli $1.4K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed