Optimistic-Locality-Borrowing
Skill vs luck
Optimistic-Locality-Borrowing on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$2.3K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +1.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 29, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Optimistic-Locality-Borrowing: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 29, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x9da9da15a9dbf18119a2d1910883cd3014c56b8e. Data CC BY 4.0.
Optimistic-Locality-Borrowing: −$2.3K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 15 – Oct 29
- −$2.3K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | BUY Jil Teichmann @ 55¢ | Guangzhou Open: Jil Teichmann vs Zeynep Sonmez ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 28 | BUY Spirit @ 69¢ | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage ↗ | $2.3K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.