Automatic-Teepee

0x9d9346b36bfacf6858ae06c7401a72ad09162cf1

Polymarket

Worse than the odds Check it on Polymarket ↗

Automatic-Teepee: −$28K on 29 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 7% (95% range 2%–22%). Skill or luck: worse than the odds.

Profit
−$28K
return −98.5%
Settled bets
29
$29K staked
Won
6.9%
95% range 2%–22%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Worse than the odds. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 14 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$16K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$12K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 18 BUY JD Gaming @ 51¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner $1.0K
Sep 17 SELL Invictus Gaming @ 99.9¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner $2.7K
Sep 13 BUY Bilibili Gaming @ 66¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner $2.0K
Sep 12 BUY G2 NORD @ 47¢
LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs
LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs $2.9K
Sep 12 BUY Movistar KOI @ 49¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner $1.0K
Sep 12 SELL Yes @ 75¢
Will Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?
Will Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw? $5.8K
Sep 12 BUY Team Vitality @ 57¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner $1.6K
Sep 12 SELL T1 @ 99.9¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner $4.7K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed