Oblong-Hardship
0x9c3e7196369308579eb5e46f5b7eb289b5192235
Oblong-Hardship: −$9 on 19 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 37% (95% range 19%–59%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$9
return −0.0%
Settled bets
19
$32K staked
Won
36.8%
95% range 19%–59%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$2.4K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$1.7K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$4.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 66¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $5.7K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Team Yandex
@ 73¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $1.6K |
| Oct 6 | BUY CyberHero
@ 50¢
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero - Game 1 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 4 | SELL Spirit
@ 99.01¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $5.9K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Luminosity
@ 43¢
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs | $2.0K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Chiefs
@ 46¢
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5) |
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5) | $3.4K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Athletics
@ 93¢
Houston Astros vs. Athletics |
Houston Astros vs. Athletics | $3.3K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Rams
@ 45¢
Spread: Rams (-7.5) |
Spread: Rams (-7.5) | $5.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.