Upset-Brain
0x9ada72fe853a5b46a32e02deb00484e91e505c6c
Upset-Brain: +$35 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 83% (95% range 44%–97%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$35
return +0.6%
Settled bets
6
$5.8K staked
Won
83.3%
95% range 44%–97%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 7 – Sep 25
- +$12
- Sep 25 – Oct 13
- +$22
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.6%
(2,332 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 | SELL Team Vitality
@ 99.9¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner | $2.2K |
| Oct 6 | BUY HANJIN BRION
@ 99¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 3 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 99¢
LoL: LGD Gaming vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: LGD Gaming vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.1K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Bilibili Gaming Junior
@ 99.9¢
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster Academy vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B |
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster Academy vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B | $1.4K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Movistar KOI Fénix
@ 99.6¢
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B |
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B | $1.1K |
| Sep 22 | BUY T1 Academy
@ 99.4¢
LoL: Fuego vs T1 Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A |
LoL: Fuego vs T1 Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A | $1.1K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.