Key-Bus-Soliloquy

0x98fe0fc291d6ee20d2226a95a4d96056825dffa7

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Key-Bus-Soliloquy: +$5.3K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 17% (95% range 3%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$5.3K
return +112.7%
Settled bets
6
$4.7K staked
Won
16.7%
95% range 3%–56%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$5.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 27 SELL Benito Sanchez Martinez @ 99.9¢
Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Hynek Barton
Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Hynek Barton $1.3K
Aug 26 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Zamalek SC win on 2026-08-26?
Will Zamalek SC win on 2026-08-26? $1.4K
Aug 24 SELL Benjamin Hassan @ 99.9¢
Augsburg: Matthew William Donald vs Benjamin Hassan
Augsburg: Matthew William Donald vs Benjamin Hassan $4.0K
Aug 23 SELL Team Spirit @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs $5.0K
Aug 22 BUY Luca Van Assche @ 47¢
Quebec City: Hugo Gaston vs Luca Van Assche
Quebec City: Hugo Gaston vs Luca Van Assche $4.7K
Aug 20 SELL Flavio Cobolli @ 99.9¢
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli $2.1K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed