0x9720…Fd31

0x9720F27EE2bc9b47E1c0a9b3e6D362043e08Fd31

Limitless

Can't tell from luck Check it on Limitless ↗

0x9720…Fd31: −$706 on 81 settled Limitless bets since Sep 5, won 40% (95% range 30%–50%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$706
return −6.9%
Settled bets
81
$10K staked
Won
39.5%
95% range 30%–50%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 18 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $50+ bets since Sep 5, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 5 – Sep 20
−$1.0K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$316
Settled profit in each two-week period since Sep 5. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Limitless whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −28.5% (538 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 28 SELL Down @ 50¢
EQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily
EQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily $74
Sep 28 BUY Down @ 50¢
EQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily
EQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily $76
Sep 26 SELL Down @ 50¢
EQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily
EQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily $73
Sep 26 BUY Down @ 50¢
EQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily
EQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily $75
Sep 26 SELL Down @ 50¢
EQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily
EQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily $73
Sep 26 BUY Down @ 50¢
EQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily
EQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily $75
Sep 26 SELL Down @ 50¢
EQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily
EQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily $79
Sep 26 BUY Down @ 50¢
EQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily
EQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily $81

Its last 8 captured bets of $50+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed