Puzzling-Pleasure
0x95c2875b248a9bad1a1e7b968d6be016728d421b
Puzzling-Pleasure: +$5.8K on 16 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 94% (95% range 72%–99%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$5.8K
return +5.6%
Settled bets
16
$105K staked
Won
93.8%
95% range 72%–99%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 15 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$4.4K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$1.5K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12 | BUY Legacy
@ 91¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner | $4.4K |
| Sep 9 | BUY G2
@ 96¢
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A |
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A | $1.5K |
| Sep 8 | SELL G2
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner | $5.0K |
| Sep 8 | BUY G2
@ 97¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner | $6.4K |
| Sep 8 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 96¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner | $1.5K |
| Sep 8 | BUY BetBoom Team
@ 98¢
Counter-Strike: BIG vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: BIG vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner | $4.0K |
| Sep 8 | BUY BetBoom Team
@ 92¢
Counter-Strike: BIG vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: BIG vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 8 | BUY 9z
@ 99¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs 5star - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: 9z vs 5star - Map 2 Winner | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.