Nice-Variant-Ranger
0x958b12da02ac63d05096b68e3d132c6add0850ce
Nice-Variant-Ranger: −$2.2K on 19 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 47% (95% range 27%–68%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$2.2K
return −10.9%
Settled bets
19
$20K staked
Won
47.4%
95% range 27%–68%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$593
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$1.6K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | SELL PARIVISION
@ 71¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | $1.9K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Aurora
@ 79¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 1 Winner | $1.1K |
| Sep 19 | SELL Invictus Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Invictus Gaming
@ 99¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 19 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 66¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $1.3K |
| Sep 18 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 99¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 18 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 90¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $1.8K |
| Sep 18 | SELL Team WE
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.