Vigorous-Shoes

0x948a59df7c105cbd9500ca806a1a932a9d9fe059

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Vigorous-Shoes: −$2.6K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 57% (95% range 25%–84%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$2.6K
return −18.2%
Settled bets
7
$14K staked
Won
57.1%
95% range 25%–84%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$2.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 12 BUY @ 28¢
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5 AND US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina AND Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5 AND US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina AND Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5 $1.1K
Sep 6 BUY @ 48¢
Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 2.5 AND SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5
Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 2.5 AND SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5 $1.8K
Sep 5 BUY @ 71¢
US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo AND FC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5
US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo AND FC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5 $2.4K
Aug 30 BUY Dplus KIA @ 78¢
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs $2.2K
Aug 29 BUY Team Liquid @ 62¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season $1.1K
Aug 29 BUY Over @ 66¢
RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5
RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5 $1.5K
Aug 29 SELL Over @ 35¢
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 2.5
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 2.5 $1.2K
Aug 29 SELL T1 @ 51¢
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs $2.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed