Everlasting-Windchime

0x93aaf045c9e5663378699f2fd194cf9c8ff84ab1

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Everlasting-Windchime: −$594 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$594
return −11.1%
Settled bets
4
$5.4K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$594
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 5 SELL Ben Shelton @ 99.9¢
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov $1.2K
Aug 24 BUY Seahawks @ 75¢
Seahawks vs. Titans
Seahawks vs. Titans $2.2K
Aug 24 BUY Maya Joint @ 91¢
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Yulia Putintseva
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Yulia Putintseva $2.0K
Aug 24 BUY No @ 46¢
Will Racing Club win on 2026-08-23?
Will Racing Club win on 2026-08-23? $1.2K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed