Handy-Quilt

0x92d8a88f0a9fef812bdf5628770d6a0ecee39762

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Handy-Quilt: +$29K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 83% (95% range 44%–97%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$29K
return +102.5%
Settled bets
6
$28K staked
Won
83.3%
95% range 44%–97%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$25K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$1.2K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$2.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 SELL No @ 14¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-03?
Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-03? $2.4K
Sep 14 SELL No @ 10¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14?
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14? $1.2K
Sep 4 BUY Yes @ 92¢
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-04?
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-04? $13K
Aug 30 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-08-30?
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-08-30? $66K
Aug 29 BUY No @ 43¢
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-08-29?
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-08-29? $15K
Aug 24 SELL No @ 20¢
Will AS Roma win on 2026-08-24?
Will AS Roma win on 2026-08-24? $4.0K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed