Unfolded-Nanoparticle-Leopard
Skill vs luck
Unfolded-Nanoparticle-Leopard on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 34%–100%) · profit +$4.5K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Unfolded-Nanoparticle-Leopard: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x92a8eec13a691af81a1a196b7594c1eccfa0eebc. Data CC BY 4.0.
Unfolded-Nanoparticle-Leopard: +$4.5K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 23 – Oct 10
- +$3.3K
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- +$1.2K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Yes @ 67¢ | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ | $2.5K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Mbappé @ 49¢ | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Mbappé @ 43¢ | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? ↗ | $1.3K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?