Specific-Athletics-Piracy

0x9166ec6b0d48b8a046f520c6f71e73914d8c5bd5

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Specific-Athletics-Piracy: −$4.9K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 46% (95% range 23%–71%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$4.9K
return −9.3%
Settled bets
13
$53K staked
Won
46.2%
95% range 23%–71%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$198
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$13K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$7.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 5 BUY FURIA @ 40¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $5.6K
Sep 28 BUY Broncos @ 70¢
Rams vs. Broncos
Rams vs. Broncos $8.1K
Sep 28 BUY Broncos @ 38¢
Rams vs. Broncos
Rams vs. Broncos $4.0K
Sep 21 BUY Chiefs @ 70¢
Colts vs. Chiefs
Colts vs. Chiefs $7.8K
Sep 20 BUY Cardinals @ 34¢
Seahawks vs. Cardinals
Seahawks vs. Cardinals $3.0K
Sep 15 BUY Arizona Diamondbacks @ 38¢
Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks $1.5K
Sep 12 BUY BetBoom Team @ 68¢
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs $7.5K
Sep 12 BUY Legacy @ 67¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs $5.9K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed