Tough-Attention

0x904e9acc32499c5ba48a2278b5856f47cd0ad86a

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Tough-Attention: −$1.3K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 19%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.3K
return −13.1%
Settled bets
6
$10K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 19%–81%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 24 – Oct 12
−$1.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 12 BUY JD Gaming @ 41¢
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner $1.0K
Oct 12 SELL Team Vitality @ 99.9¢
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) $8.1K
Oct 12 BUY Team Vitality @ 30¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner $1.0K
Oct 12 BUY Team Vitality @ 57¢
Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)
Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5) $1.4K
Oct 11 BUY Team Spirit @ 43¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner $1.6K
Oct 11 BUY Team Spirit @ 43¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner $1.2K
Oct 11 BUY Team Spirit @ 45¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner $1.1K
Oct 9 BUY Aurora @ 45¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner $1.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed