Insistent-Lanai

0x9026f0c0490bc8d7faf9f5d5bbc329f80fcb9b07

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Insistent-Lanai: +$75 on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 86% (95% range 49%–97%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$75
return +0.5%
Settled bets
7
$16K staked
Won
85.7%
95% range 49%–97%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$854
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$929
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 SELL No @ 99.24¢
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-10-09?
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-10-09? $3.7K
Oct 6 BUY @ 62¢
Croatia vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 AND Will England win on 2026-10-06? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-06? AND Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? AND Will Albania win on 2026-10-06?
Croatia vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 AND Will England win on 2026-10-06? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-06? AND Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? AND Will Albania win on 2026-10-06? $2.0K
Oct 3 BUY @ 69¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-03? AND Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?
Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-03? AND Will Spain win on 2026-10-03? $1.6K
Sep 27 BUY Yes @ 70¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?
Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27? $2.2K
Sep 18 BUY Over @ 83¢
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: Chelsea FC O/U 0.5
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: Chelsea FC O/U 0.5 $3.2K
Sep 16 BUY @ 89¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? AND Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-16?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? AND Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-16? $2.4K
Sep 16 BUY Yes @ 81¢
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-17?
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-17? $2.5K
Sep 16 BUY No @ 81¢
Will Ghazl El Mahalla SC win on 2026-09-16?
Will Ghazl El Mahalla SC win on 2026-09-16? $1.3K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed