Harmful-Gymnast
0x8fbb3c32496d4bcff8f456c3342f90edaaa09a17
Harmful-Gymnast: +$28K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 31%–83%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$28K
return +40.5%
Settled bets
10
$69K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 31%–83%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$3.3K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$31K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 34¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $1.4K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Shopify Rebellion
@ 46¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | $2.4K |
| Oct 7 | BUY GAM Esports
@ 52¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | $2.1K |
| Oct 7 | BUY FlyQuest
@ 76¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner | $16K |
| Oct 6 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 52¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $10K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Team Vitality
@ 79¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 6 | BUY HANJIN BRION
@ 26¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 6 | BUY HANJIN BRION
@ 58¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | $21K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.