Fatal-Closet

0x8faabef68d5951d3e06ca511dfc778ed6f54deb5

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Fatal-Closet: +$3.4K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$3.4K
return +45.9%
Settled bets
3
$7.4K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 21%–94%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$3.4K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 1 BUY No @ 78¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? $3.4K
Sep 17 BUY No @ 88¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? $6.0K
Sep 12 SELL No @ 12¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Fed rate hike in 2026? $1.2K
Sep 12 BUY No @ 15¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Fed rate hike in 2026? $1.4K
Sep 11 SELL Yes @ 18¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? $2.8K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed