General-Conformation-Seat
0x8f3aa92cdc696fda0efcedc8de59dcffcf335ad0
General-Conformation-Seat: +$34K on 35 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 26%–56%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$34K
return +28.7%
Settled bets
35
$117K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 26%–56%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 29 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$27K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$6.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20 | BUY Vietnam
@ 53¢
LoL: South Korea vs Vietnam (BO5) - 2026 Asian Games National Team Evaluation Match |
LoL: South Korea vs Vietnam (BO5) - 2026 Asian Games National Team Evaluation Match | $3.0K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Vietnam
@ 59¢
LoL: South Korea vs Vietnam (BO5) - 2026 Asian Games National Team Evaluation Match |
LoL: South Korea vs Vietnam (BO5) - 2026 Asian Games National Team Evaluation Match | $3.0K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Vietnam
@ 45¢
LoL: South Korea vs Vietnam (BO5) - 2026 Asian Games National Team Evaluation Match |
LoL: South Korea vs Vietnam (BO5) - 2026 Asian Games National Team Evaluation Match | $3.3K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Vietnam
@ 54¢
LoL: South Korea vs Vietnam (BO5) - 2026 Asian Games National Team Evaluation Match |
LoL: South Korea vs Vietnam (BO5) - 2026 Asian Games National Team Evaluation Match | $1.7K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Karmine Corp
@ 45¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner | $3.6K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 45¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner | $3.1K |
| Sep 18 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 10¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $1.0K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Top Esports
@ 28¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $2.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.