Petty-Adjustment-Gig
0x8e888fd8953b883891328dda14bdd7260eeeb235
Petty-Adjustment-Gig: +$4.3K on 16 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 28%–72%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$4.3K
return +10.8%
Settled bets
16
$40K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 28%–72%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$5.2K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$912
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 | BUY Taro Daniel
@ 52¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel |
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel | $6.0K |
| Sep 27 | SELL Nishesh Basavareddy
@ 99.9¢
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes |
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | $13K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Fabian Marozsan
@ 56¢
Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Kyrian Jacquet |
Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Kyrian Jacquet | $2.3K |
| Sep 26 | SELL Titouan Droguet
@ 99.9¢
St. Tropez: Titouan Droguet vs Dino Prizmic |
St. Tropez: Titouan Droguet vs Dino Prizmic | $4.6K |
| Sep 26 | BUY
@ 47¢
St. Tropez: Titouan Droguet vs Dino Prizmic AND Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo |
St. Tropez: Titouan Droguet vs Dino Prizmic AND Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo | $1.3K |
| Sep 25 | SELL Brandon Nakashima
@ 99.9¢
Laver Cup: Jakub Mensik vs Brandon Nakashima |
Laver Cup: Jakub Mensik vs Brandon Nakashima | $6.8K |
| Sep 25 | BUY Hugo Gaston
@ 56¢
Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston |
Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston | $3.5K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Aidan Mayo
@ 49¢
San Diego 2: Aidan Mayo vs Sebastian Gorzny |
San Diego 2: Aidan Mayo vs Sebastian Gorzny | $2.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.