Same-Pound
0x8e52216607ebb117b498b689bcdc6d778cd32320
Same-Pound: −$1.4K on 27 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 93% (95% range 77%–98%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$1.4K
return −3.7%
Settled bets
27
$38K staked
Won
92.6%
95% range 77%–98%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 27 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$371
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$1.8K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13 | BUY Under
@ 97¢
Inter Miami CF vs. Nashville SC: O/U 4.5 |
Inter Miami CF vs. Nashville SC: O/U 4.5 | $2.0K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Yes
@ 96¢
Will Inter Miami CF vs. Nashville SC end in a draw? |
Will Inter Miami CF vs. Nashville SC end in a draw? | $1.9K |
| Sep 12 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? |
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? | $1.2K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Under
@ 99¢
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 |
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | $1.0K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Yes
@ 99¢
Preston North End FC vs. Lincoln City FC: Draw at halftime? |
Preston North End FC vs. Lincoln City FC: Draw at halftime? | $1.1K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Under
@ 99¢
Preston North End FC vs. Lincoln City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 |
Preston North End FC vs. Lincoln City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | $1.0K |
| Sep 11 | BUY Yes
@ 99¢
Helmond Sport vs. Jong PSV Eindhoven: Draw at halftime? |
Helmond Sport vs. Jong PSV Eindhoven: Draw at halftime? | $1.1K |
| Sep 11 | BUY Yes
@ 98¢
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw? |
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw? | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.