Kooky-Diarist
0x8d9f8127677a6c64219b1ba5ecd126043551787a
Kooky-Diarist: +$11K on 16 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 28%–72%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$11K
return +70.2%
Settled bets
16
$15K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 28%–72%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$8
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- +$5.2K
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- +$5.7K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 | SELL BNK FEARX
@ 75¢
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $5.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Movistar KOI Fénix
@ 50¢
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs |
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs | $1.3K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Movistar KOI Fénix
@ 42¢
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs |
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Movistar KOI Fénix
@ 42¢
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs |
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs | $1.0K |
| Oct 6 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 56¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 2 | BUY The Secret Club Esport
@ 49¢
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs The Secret Club Esport (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage |
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs The Secret Club Esport (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage | $2.0K |
| Sep 30 | BUY UCAM Esports Club
@ 53¢
LoL: eSuba vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: eSuba vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner | $1.0K |
| Sep 28 | BUY Galions
@ 41¢
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs |
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.