Yellow-Reflection

0x8d855dbd3cd64eb4bcccb590808d8945f6c2f4e0

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Yellow-Reflection: +$1.3K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 22%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.3K
return +16.3%
Settled bets
8
$8.2K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 22%–79%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$2.9K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$484
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$2.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 4 BUY HANJIN BRION @ 63¢
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner $2.0K
Sep 13 SELL Hanwha Life Esports @ 99.9¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner $2.8K
Sep 12 SELL Movistar KOI @ 99.9¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs $2.3K
Sep 12 BUY Movistar KOI @ 67¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs $1.0K
Sep 12 SELL LOS @ 99.9¢
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner $1.5K
Sep 12 SELL LOS @ 99.9¢
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner $1.8K
Aug 30 BUY Fnatic @ 99¢
LoL: Fnatic vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Fnatic vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner $1.9K
Aug 24 BUY DN SOOPers Challengers @ 62¢
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winner
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winner $1.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed