Willing-Thread
0x8d1281a3c1aaab73da8febebedf51896129b7d66
Willing-Thread: −$1.1K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$1.1K
return −43.6%
Settled bets
2
$2.4K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- −$1.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 60¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 11 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 80¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner | $1.1K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.