Prize-Spaghetti-Liberty

0x8ca79e87be1de1a656bf6d93397f4e3c59fbbf27

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Prize-Spaghetti-Liberty: −$1.1K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 10%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.1K
return −21.4%
Settled bets
6
$5.4K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 10%–70%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$1.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 23 BUY Under @ 52¢
DAL vs. ARI: O/U 38.5
DAL vs. ARI: O/U 38.5 $2.4K
Aug 22 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 $3.5K
Aug 22 SELL Houston Astros @ 94¢
Athletics vs. Houston Astros
Athletics vs. Houston Astros $4.9K
Aug 22 SELL Houston Astros @ 95¢
Athletics vs. Houston Astros
Athletics vs. Houston Astros $5.0K
Aug 22 SELL Down @ 99¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET $5.0K
Aug 21 BUY Houston Astros @ 63¢
Athletics vs. Houston Astros
Athletics vs. Houston Astros $2.0K
Aug 21 BUY Down @ 60¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET $1.0K
Aug 21 SELL Down @ 99.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET $1.8K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed