Self-Reliant-Camp
0x8c0b024c17831a0dde038547b7e791ae6a0d7aa5
Self-Reliant-Camp: −$59K on 112 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 41% (95% range 32%–50%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$59K
return −11.7%
Settled bets
112
$505K staked
Won
41.1%
95% range 32%–50%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 103 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$10K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$8.8K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$57K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | BUY Shopify Rebellion
@ 48¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | $2.4K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Shopify Rebellion
@ 49¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Aurora Gaming
@ 47¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $6.1K |
| Oct 6 | BUY 1WIN
@ 45¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $3.2K |
| Oct 5 | BUY BetBoom Team
@ 54¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner | $6.3K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Team Liquid
@ 56¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 4 Winner | $3.1K |
| Oct 4 | BUY LYON
@ 45¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 3 Winner | $2.2K |
| Oct 4 | BUY LYON
@ 44¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 3 Winner | $3.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.