Fruitful-Mezzanine

0x8a9e22534845af9a86f6e987a0e6cf07b51a09ac

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Fruitful-Mezzanine: +$2.8K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 17%–69%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.8K
return +76.0%
Settled bets
10
$3.7K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 17%–69%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$1.5K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$4.3K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$2
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 SELL 1win @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner $1.2K
Oct 3 SELL Denis Shapovalov @ 99.9¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo $1.3K
Sep 17 SELL Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong @ 63¢
Guangzhou: James Kent Trotter vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Guangzhou: James Kent Trotter vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong $1.3K
Sep 15 SELL Gerard Campana Lee @ 99.9¢
Biella: Gerard Campana Lee vs Carlos Taberner
Biella: Gerard Campana Lee vs Carlos Taberner $3.2K
Sep 15 SELL Carlos Taberner @ 57¢
Biella: Gerard Campana Lee vs Carlos Taberner
Biella: Gerard Campana Lee vs Carlos Taberner $3.7K
Sep 15 SELL Down @ 82¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET $1.1K
Sep 15 SELL Up @ 94¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET $1.1K
Sep 15 BUY San Diego Padres @ 74¢
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies $1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed