Neat-Room-Halfbrother

0x89f3ee3abd56f3349e286de5623e1d003d6a1cc1

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Neat-Room-Halfbrother: −$4.9K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 7%–59%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$4.9K
return −63.5%
Settled bets
8
$7.7K staked
Won
25.0%
95% range 7%–59%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$3
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$4.9K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 4 BUY No @ 94¢
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? $1.1K
Oct 3 BUY JD Gaming @ 80¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage $2.0K
Oct 3 BUY Team Liquid @ 73¢
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winner
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winner $1.5K
Oct 2 BUY T1 @ 56¢
Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming - Map 2 Winner
Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming - Map 2 Winner $1.5K
Sep 25 BUY No @ 97¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? $1.6K
Sep 20 SELL G2 Esports @ 99.9¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner $1.0K
Sep 5 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-09-05?
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-09-05? $1.2K
Sep 5 SELL Invictus Gaming @ 99.9¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner $1.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed