Creative-Spandex-Triad

0x88747b69e7c7df7eabdb438d7d338732b5f0e822

Skill vs luck

Creative-Spandex-Triad on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 33% (95% range 6%–79%) · profit +$876. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +1.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 29, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Creative-Spandex-Triad: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 29, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x88747b69e7c7df7eabdb438d7d338732b5f0e822. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Creative-Spandex-Triad: +$876 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$876
return +14.8%
Settled bets
3
$5.9K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 6%–79%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Oct 15 – Oct 29
+$876
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made +1.3% (2,530 positions).

Latest captured bets

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1793257219, computed 2026-10-29 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793257219 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed