Runny-Welfare-Ego

0x8850aa62401da0974cb78e0e91026fad036860b1

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Runny-Welfare-Ego: −$1.8K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 24%–76%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.8K
return −15.6%
Settled bets
10
$12K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 24%–76%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$2.6K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$125
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$910
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 BUY No @ 76¢
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-10?
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-10? $1.5K
Oct 10 BUY Over @ 95¢
Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 0.5
Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 0.5 $2.0K
Oct 9 SELL PARIVISION @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs $2.2K
Oct 9 BUY PARIVISION @ 85¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs $1.9K
Sep 18 BUY No @ 74¢
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-18?
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-18? $1.1K
Sep 18 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
Games Total: O/U 3.5
Games Total: O/U 3.5 $1.2K
Sep 15 BUY Over @ 68¢
Games Total: O/U 3.5
Games Total: O/U 3.5 $1.3K
Sep 13 SELL Gen.G @ 99.9¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs $2.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed