Lumpy-Standard-Bargain
0x860129c390adcab4e4e5933a2f22857f7eade10e
Lumpy-Standard-Bargain: −$1.8K on 16 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 10%–50%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$1.8K
return −15.2%
Settled bets
16
$12K staked
Won
25.0%
95% range 10%–50%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$4
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- −$1.8K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | SELL Team Yandex
@ 80¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner | $1.4K |
| Oct 8 | SELL Aurora
@ 70¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Yellow Submarine
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl - Game 2 Winner | $3.0K |
| Oct 6 | BUY LEGION
@ 97¢
Dota 2: LEGION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: LEGION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner | $2.9K |
| Oct 6 | BUY LEGION
@ 96¢
Dota 2: LEGION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: LEGION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 6 | BUY LEGION
@ 90¢
Dota 2: LEGION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: LEGION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Blasterbl
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Blasterbl vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs |
Dota 2: Blasterbl vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | $4.5K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Blasterbl
@ 99¢
Dota 2: Blasterbl vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs |
Dota 2: Blasterbl vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.