Vengeful-Violation
0x8548f0fae7636fc17ca6bb2cbae39cbd4fbce4c1
Vengeful-Violation: +$611 on 24 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 96% (95% range 80%–99%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$611
return +0.8%
Settled bets
24
$75K staked
Won
95.8%
95% range 80%–99%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 23 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$21
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$95
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$496
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Vitality
@ 91¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner | $1.6K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Paper Rex
@ 99.9¢
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner |
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner | $1.4K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Aurora Gaming
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $1.2K |
| Oct 6 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 98¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.2K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Team Vitality
@ 99¢
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) |
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) | $1.2K |
| Oct 5 | BUY FURIA
@ 98¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | $4.4K |
| Oct 4 | BUY KT Rolster
@ 99.8¢
LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $4.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Spirit
@ 98¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.