Fluffy-Formation

0x852da8d60702c22b9c04f9e72f14670ab209c3df

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Fluffy-Formation: +$198 on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 41%–93%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$198
return +1.7%
Settled bets
8
$12K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 41%–93%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$152
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$47
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 12 BUY Yes @ 99.9¢
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-12?
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-12? $1.7K
Sep 11 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw? $2.0K
Sep 5 BUY No @ 98¢
Exact Score: CR Brasil 2 - 2 América FC?
Exact Score: CR Brasil 2 - 2 América FC? $1.7K
Sep 3 BUY Yes @ 99.9¢
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-02?
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-02? $1.4K
Aug 31 BUY Gonzalo Bueno @ 95¢
Como: Gonzalo Bueno vs Joao Lucas Da Silva
Como: Gonzalo Bueno vs Joao Lucas Da Silva $2.0K
Aug 30 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30?
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30? $1.8K
Aug 29 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-08-29?
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-08-29? $1.4K
Aug 26 BUY No @ 99¢
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 2 - 3 Real Sociedad de Fútbol?
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 2 - 3 Real Sociedad de Fútbol? $3.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed