Grim-Icon

0x84dbb7103982e3617704a2ed7d5b39691952aeeb

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Grim-Icon: +$38K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 63% (95% range 31%–86%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$38K
return +86.4%
Settled bets
8
$44K staked
Won
62.5%
95% range 31%–86%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$3.4K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$18K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$24K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 5 BUY Panthers @ 42¢
Lions vs. Panthers
Lions vs. Panthers $11K
Oct 3 BUY Washington @ 25¢
Washington vs. USC
Washington vs. USC $3.3K
Oct 3 BUY Miami (FL) @ 47¢
Spread: Miami (FL) (-16.5)
Spread: Miami (FL) (-16.5) $4.3K
Sep 26 BUY Ole Miss @ 38¢
Ole Miss vs. Florida
Ole Miss vs. Florida $1.1K
Sep 24 BUY Falcons @ 51¢
Spread: Packers (-5.5)
Spread: Packers (-5.5) $1.4K
Sep 24 BUY Falcons @ 51¢
Spread: Packers (-5.5)
Spread: Packers (-5.5) $6.0K
Sep 24 BUY Falcons @ 49¢
Spread: Packers (-4.5)
Spread: Packers (-4.5) $2.0K
Sep 19 BUY Ole Miss @ 41¢
LSU vs. Ole Miss
LSU vs. Ole Miss $12K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed