Rotten-Order
0x837f2f8db1d10e985a52f714263c96bdcfb686b7
Rotten-Order: −$7.4K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$7.4K
return −123.4%
Settled bets
3
$6.0K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–56%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$4.4K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$3.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | BUY No
@ 76¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $3.0K |
| Sep 19 | BUY No
@ 73¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $3.0K |
| Sep 17 | SELL No
@ 58¢
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.9K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.