Excited-Incandescence
0x81f4ad4acf0e72f1d3cecb4164ac5711dfae8300
Excited-Incandescence: −$3.5K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–49%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$3.5K
return −213.4%
Settled bets
4
$1.6K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–49%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$10
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$1.8K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$1.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | BUY Nongshim RedForce
@ 27¢
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D |
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D | $1.6K |
| Sep 12 | SELL G2
@ 60¢
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs | $2.8K |
| Aug 23 | SELL Hanwha Life Esports
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group |
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | $5.1K |
| Aug 23 | SELL LGD Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend |
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | $5.0K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.