0x81d1…4806

0x81d12e02d411ea6784d14af0538c72ecf8bb4806

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

0x81d1…4806: −$1.4K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–43%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.4K
return −127.5%
Settled bets
5
$1.1K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–43%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$1
Sep 6 – Sep 24
−$1.4K
Sep 24 – Oct 12
−$1
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 28 SELL GamerLegion @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: magic vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: magic vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs $1.2K
Sep 11 SELL Cupid Esports @ 91¢
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs $1.3K
Sep 9 BUY Nongshim Esports Academy @ 60¢
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs $1.1K
Sep 8 SELL Fuego @ 92¢
LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs Fuego (BO5) - LRN Playoffs
LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs Fuego (BO5) - LRN Playoffs $2.0K
Aug 31 SELL LOUD @ 99.9¢
Valorant: LOUD vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs
Valorant: LOUD vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs $1.3K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed