Rectangular-Geometry-Hanger
0x818be2b363af6d1b3f74cbd020550aeda633c5eb
Rectangular-Geometry-Hanger: +$31K on 67 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 48% (95% range 36%–60%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$31K
return +40.7%
Settled bets
67
$75K staked
Won
47.8%
95% range 36%–60%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 23 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$33K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$352
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$3.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 | SELL 1win
@ 64¢
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner | $2.9K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Aurora
@ 93¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D |
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D | $1.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY GamerLegion
@ 86¢
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 1 | SELL GamerLegion
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner | $2.3K |
| Oct 1 | BUY GamerLegion
@ 86¢
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 27 | SELL Natus Vincere
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | $2.2K |
| Sep 27 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 57¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | $1.0K |
| Sep 26 | SELL Natus Vincere
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $3.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.