0x8180…5e00

0x81801025871EE73Ac195EdD2ffb4b3353B765e00

Limitless

Can't tell from luck Check it on Limitless ↗

0x8180…5e00: +$743 on 146 settled Limitless bets since Sep 5, won 47% (95% range 39%–55%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$743
return +1.9%
Settled bets
146
$39K staked
Won
47.3%
95% range 39%–55%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 17 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $50+ bets since Sep 5, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 5 – Sep 20
+$287
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$457
Settled profit in each two-week period since Sep 5. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Limitless whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −28.5% (538 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 5 SELL Down @ 26¢
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Up or Down - Daily
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Up or Down - Daily $88
Oct 5 BUY Down @ 28¢
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Up or Down - Daily
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Up or Down - Daily $98
Sep 28 BUY Down @ 50¢
Lockheed Martin (LMT) Up or Down - Daily
Lockheed Martin (LMT) Up or Down - Daily $81
Sep 28 SELL Down @ 50¢
Lockheed Martin (LMT) Up or Down - Daily
Lockheed Martin (LMT) Up or Down - Daily $86
Sep 28 BUY Down @ 50¢
Lockheed Martin (LMT) Up or Down - Daily
Lockheed Martin (LMT) Up or Down - Daily $88
Sep 28 BUY Down @ 50¢
Lockheed Martin (LMT) Up or Down - Daily
Lockheed Martin (LMT) Up or Down - Daily $84
Sep 28 SELL Down @ 50¢
Lockheed Martin (LMT) Up or Down - Daily
Lockheed Martin (LMT) Up or Down - Daily $74
Sep 28 BUY Down @ 50¢
Lockheed Martin (LMT) Up or Down - Daily
Lockheed Martin (LMT) Up or Down - Daily $75

Its last 8 captured bets of $50+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed