Aromatic-Standard
0x7d92fd69504bfd391162e1442cb784c0af408676
Aromatic-Standard: −$114K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 16%–75%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$114K
return −80.4%
Settled bets
7
$142K staked
Won
42.9%
95% range 16%–75%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$107K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$7.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18 | BUY Lions
@ 13¢
Lions vs. Bills |
Lions vs. Bills | $6.5K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Pittsburgh
@ 51¢
Spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5) |
Spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5) | $1.3K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Pittsburgh
@ 50¢
Spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5) |
Spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5) | $1.2K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Los Angeles Dodgers
@ 55¢
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) |
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) | $5.2K |
| Sep 14 | BUY Giants
@ 89¢
Cowboys vs. Giants |
Cowboys vs. Giants | $7.4K |
| Sep 14 | BUY Giants
@ 73¢
Cowboys vs. Giants |
Cowboys vs. Giants | $2.9K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Under
@ 54¢
Miami (FL) vs. Stanford: O/U 47.5 |
Miami (FL) vs. Stanford: O/U 47.5 | $1.0K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Boston Red Sox
@ 56¢
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees |
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | $111K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.