Ideal-Stinger

0x7ad0abe2f86f96e05aaae8281aa002efe87b6187

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Ideal-Stinger: −$3.8K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 29% (95% range 8%–64%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$3.8K
return −51.5%
Settled bets
7
$7.4K staked
Won
28.6%
95% range 8%–64%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$498
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$2.1K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$2.3K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 7 BUY FlyQuest @ 64¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage $1.4K
Oct 3 BUY Cloud9 @ 53¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner $1.2K
Oct 3 BUY Natus Vincere @ 82¢
LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage $1.0K
Sep 17 BUY Invictus Gaming @ 57¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner $1.4K
Sep 12 BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 58¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner $1.2K
Sep 5 BUY G2 Esports @ 72¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner $1.3K
Sep 1 BUY Gen.G @ 73¢
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner $1.4K
Aug 23 SELL Hanwha Life Esports @ 99.9¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner $1.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed