Faithful-Classroom

0x79ab2e51826652efa43a45f0eb9b059fb155d7a7

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Faithful-Classroom: +$1.3K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 58% (95% range 32%–81%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$1.3K
return +4.1%
Settled bets
12
$33K staked
Won
58.3%
95% range 32%–81%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$6.0K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$2.3K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$7.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 BUY @ 49¢
Switzerland vs. Slovenia: O/U 1.5 AND Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 AND Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Switzerland vs. Slovenia: O/U 1.5 AND Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 AND Spread: Spain (-1.5) $4.9K
Oct 3 BUY @ 19¢
Argentina vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 3.5 AND Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 AND Switzerland vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Spain (-2.5)
Argentina vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 3.5 AND Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 AND Switzerland vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Spain (-2.5) $4.8K
Oct 3 BUY @ 24¢
Switzerland vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Spain (-1.5) AND Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5
Switzerland vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Spain (-1.5) AND Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 $4.8K
Oct 3 BUY Over @ 57¢
India vs. Brazil: O/U 4.5
India vs. Brazil: O/U 4.5 $7.0K
Sep 14 BUY @ 48¢
FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 3.5 AND Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5 AND Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5 AND Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16? AND Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?
FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 3.5 AND Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5 AND Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5 AND Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16? AND Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? $2.9K
Sep 12 SELL Over @ 56¢
Real Racing Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5
Real Racing Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5 $2.0K
Sep 12 BUY Over @ 57¢
Real Racing Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5
Real Racing Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5 $2.0K
Sep 12 BUY Over @ 58¢
Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5
Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5 $3.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed