First-Weird
0x768f4c085c377216ec444d5a29989f1a92d28a9b
First-Weird: −$720 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 12%–77%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$720
return −16.0%
Settled bets
5
$4.5K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 12%–77%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$658
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$1.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15 | BUY Yes
@ 58¢
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15? |
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15? | $2.0K |
| Sep 15 | BUY T1 Academy
@ 68¢
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs |
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs | $1.4K |
| Aug 27 | SELL Inner Circle Esports
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | $1.2K |
| Aug 23 | SELL LGD Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend |
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | $1.7K |
| Aug 23 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 61¢
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend |
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | $1.0K |
| Aug 23 | SELL Atlanta Dream
@ 99.9¢
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5) |
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5) | $1.1K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.