Witty-Last

0x7618a65c74aa6a72803e606f592a73d575ae24c6

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Witty-Last: +$5.1K on 21 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 48% (95% range 28%–68%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$5.1K
return +15.5%
Settled bets
21
$33K staked
Won
47.6%
95% range 28%–68%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$5.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 24 SELL Mika Brunold @ 99.9¢
Augsburg: Mika Brunold vs Liam Gavrielides
Augsburg: Mika Brunold vs Liam Gavrielides $6.6K
Aug 23 SELL Yes @ 12¢
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-08-23?
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-08-23? $1.3K
Aug 23 BUY Yes @ 34¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? $1.4K
Aug 23 SELL Yes @ 56¢
Will AC Horsens win on 2026-08-23?
Will AC Horsens win on 2026-08-23? $1.8K
Aug 23 BUY Yes @ 29¢
Will AC Horsens win on 2026-08-23?
Will AC Horsens win on 2026-08-23? $4.0K
Aug 23 SELL Yes @ 85¢
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-08-23?
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-08-23? $4.2K
Aug 23 SELL Yes @ 62¢
Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-08-23?
Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-08-23? $2.3K
Aug 23 SELL Yes @ 63¢
Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-08-23?
Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-08-23? $1.7K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed