Distorted-Spiral
0x75cb0fa63bc9dc2cd5a7926f7af2d491b8edbb8c
Distorted-Spiral: −$6 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$6
return —
Settled bets
1
$0 staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–79%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$6
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10 | SELL No
@ 99.8¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $3.0K |
All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.