Calm-Backburn
0x747cd6e935a57e25c4590bbfbea308751063443b
Calm-Backburn: −$117 on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 49%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$117
return −1.3%
Settled bets
10
$9.4K staked
Won
80.0%
95% range 49%–94%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$426
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$543
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | SELL Ben Shelton
@ 99.9¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs Daniel Altmaier |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs Daniel Altmaier | $1.1K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Partizan
@ 91¢
Partizan vs. Mega Mozzart |
Partizan vs. Mega Mozzart | $1.0K |
| Oct 5 | BUY No
@ 89¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-10-05? |
Will Türkiye win on 2026-10-05? | $1.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 92¢
Will Slovenia win on 2026-10-03? |
Will Slovenia win on 2026-10-03? | $1.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Alexander Zverev
@ 87¢
China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie |
China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie | $1.0K |
| Sep 27 | BUY No
@ 90¢
Will Greece win on 2026-09-27? |
Will Greece win on 2026-09-27? | $1.0K |
| Sep 19 | BUY No
@ 93¢
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-09-19? |
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-09-19? | $1.0K |
| Sep 15 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-15? |
Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-15? | $1.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.