Crowded-Outrage

0x741889695931a255adbdba0b0d169c17e7ac251f

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Crowded-Outrage: +$1.7K on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 14% (95% range 4%–40%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.7K
return —
Settled bets
14
$0 staked
Won
14.3%
95% range 4%–40%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$2.3K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$581
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 14 SELL Yes @ 99¢
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14? $1.1K
Sep 13 SELL Over @ 87¢
Getafe CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 0.5
Getafe CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 0.5 $1.1K
Sep 10 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: FC Bayern München O/U 1.5
FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: FC Bayern München O/U 1.5 $1.2K
Sep 9 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
VfB Stuttgart vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5
VfB Stuttgart vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5 $1.0K
Sep 8 SELL Yes @ 74¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08?
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08? $1.1K
Sep 5 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5 $1.1K
Sep 5 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 1.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 1.5 $1.1K
Sep 4 SELL Yes @ 77¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04?
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04? $1.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed