Unruly-Hacksaw
0x73e83485b8e20b70c53c27bef8ba4c62575dcd6f
Unruly-Hacksaw: +$4.2K on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 64% (95% range 39%–84%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$4.2K
return +24.9%
Settled bets
14
$17K staked
Won
64.3%
95% range 39%–84%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 14 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$3.3K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$3.1K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$4.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | BUY Cleveland Guardians
@ 52¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox |
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox | $1.1K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Stars
@ 31¢
Spread: Stars (-1.5) |
Spread: Stars (-1.5) | $1.1K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Pittsburgh
@ 54¢
Spread: Virginia Tech (-3.5) |
Spread: Virginia Tech (-3.5) | $1.1K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Under
@ 51¢
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 |
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | $1.5K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Minnesota Twins
@ 59¢
Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants |
Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants | $1.5K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Washington Nationals
@ 58¢
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) |
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) | $1.5K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Emilio Quissua
@ 44¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Damian Piwowarczyk vs. Emilio Quissua (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) |
Dana White's Contender Series: Damian Piwowarczyk vs. Emilio Quissua (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | $1.6K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Over
@ 55¢
Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 |
Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.