Narrow-Gutter

0x733b2ffa4ebfd125ee71e8b673bd08273abd7260

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Narrow-Gutter: +$64K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 89% (95% range 56%–98%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$64K
return +30.4%
Settled bets
9
$210K staked
Won
88.9%
95% range 56%–98%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$47K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$10K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$6.6K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 1 BUY Team Yandex @ 85¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C $20K
Sep 27 BUY Team Yandex @ 87¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs $20K
Sep 17 BUY FURIA @ 70¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs $10K
Sep 11 BUY Alexander Zverev @ 81¢
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov $25K
Aug 28 BUY Spirit @ 72¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A $20K
Aug 26 BUY @ 67¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A AND Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A AND Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A $20K
Aug 22 BUY Team Spirit @ 76¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs $40K
Aug 22 SELL Team Spirit @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs $55K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed