Ethical-Drudgery-Cupcake

0x72c85c38aa23a769089083d3d0fbb0cd7c55a74c

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Ethical-Drudgery-Cupcake: −$1.1K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–39%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.1K
return −104.5%
Settled bets
6
$1.0K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–39%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$1.1K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$1
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 SELL PARIVISION @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner $1.2K
Aug 30 SELL Aurora Gaming @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A $4.1K
Aug 30 SELL Team Nemesis @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Execration - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Execration - Game 2 Winner $1.6K
Aug 23 SELL Team Spirit @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner $10K
Aug 22 SELL Team Spirit @ 99¢
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner $2.8K
Aug 22 BUY Team Yandex @ 12¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs $1.0K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed